Monday, December 15, 2008

Tired

You know how you are tired sometimes, all day, didn't sleep well, didn't get enough sleep, and then...finally, time to sleep again, get "caught up" and....you can't sleep? And then it's not very good sleep and then you wake up too early? Yah. Like that.

So I asked for a topic and got: Mumbai stuff.

One thing I find interesting is that people often blame technology, read a bit today about how technologically advanced the gunmen were. Like they used Skype and GPS and Google Maps and stuff. Wow! So advanced! They are computing at a 3rd grade level!

So of course Google Maps is to blame! and cell phones (evil evil cell-phones!) and Skype!

What? I mean, really, What!?

Here is the issue, one more time, slowly: You can't prevent terror attacks very well.

That's it. You can stop them, counter-intel, infiltration, fronts, informants, etc, etc. But you are very unlikely to be able to prevent them at all period. Particularly in a very poor country were many cops don't have guns, most of them don't practice with them, nobody gets serious CT training, high population density ( = target rich environment) and non-exotic weapons. So, yes, good idea, let's blame Google. DAMN it if only they hadn't had those maps why....uh...yah, I don't know either.

Responses. Because you kinda gotta do something. Particularly when it's a provocative attack from a hostile and mostly lawless nation. But...what? Attack them? Good answer, kill more people, yours and theirs, waste resources, make yourself MORE vulnerable to attacks, etc. Pressure? Yes, obviously, of course you do this. International conglomerative pressure is best. Still tho...then what? The attacked has happened. They are unlikely to do it again. Particularly not in the same place in the same way. Sort of like being suspicious of your girlfriend AFTER she cheats on you...ain't likely to do much good then.
You can catch those that did it...maybe make somebody feel better. It's hard for me to relate to this one, never had much sourceable trauma myself. Not sure how I'd feel. Seems like the damage is done.

In general state sponsored terror, which this seems semi-likely to be, tho I think it's again a example of using terror for domestic control and international intrigue. The US wants in to Pakistan, wants to get out of that bad press we keep getting about accidentally murdering a bunch of school kids, or random dumbfucks, poor unlucky bastards, that Kashmir, Waziristan region of fuck is no doubt an operating base for many bad motherfuckers. You know, freedom fighters. Of course we don't really have a lot of spare forces to invade and occupy that shit (thanks George), and if we did they'd be attacked constantly (we're fighting them over there so we don't have to fight them over here) and make more enemies than we'd kill. And the Pakis themselves can't do it, for...basically the same reasons, tho at least that'd be internal shitstorms. India can't do it, for obvious reasons.

You can't likely get your security apparatus (as they like to call them) upgraded to...as mentioned, not do much of anything about anything.

You can get pissed and angry (what?! India?! Angry at Pakistan?! Surely not!). You can plan counter-terror attacks and covertly support them with your own internal secret police types. That's likely to be productive.

But I think the generally agreed upon standard is that...you have to kill the source, cut the root, etc. Poor angry people without hope make good terrorists. See Chechnya, see Afghanistan, see Ireland. Angry rich socially and culturally isolated people also make good terrorists. See the 9-11 dudes. Or Usama B.

It's a newer smarter world now. Terrorism doesn't provoke sympathy and change, it doesn't draw good attention. It's a tool you use against yourself. "I cut myself...just so I can feel...anything! My life is so daaaaarrk!"

Yes, I think terrorists are basically the emo teens of the international set. They can't get their way so they wreck daddies car and have a lot of unprotected sex and cut themselves. Develop drug habits. Anything for attention. And just like in real life with real teens the attention the get will just be used to oppress them further. Grounded. Restricted. Ganged up on.

Invest invest invest. But. These are "culturally backwards" parts of the world. They are not clamoring for more TV and consumer goods. They really don't want us. But, at the same time, they are fucking dirt poor, easy to infiltrate, intimidate, extort, and control. So...what?

Give Pakistan money to give money to them? Wells and schools and such? We are actually doing this, but there's a hitch in that Pakistan can't reveal to them that the money is coming from America, AND Pakistan is a corrupt country so a lot of that money never gets to where it's supposed to go, and if we bring in our folks to monitor and direct that money...then people know where it's coming from.

I suppose one answer would be to...move a bunch of new and friendly people in there. Equip them well with cash, hardware, and guns. If your next door neighbors suddenly have lots of cool stuff, are happy, and smart, AND well armed...maybe eventually...you want some of what they've got? And because they've got big guns and APCs in their yards you can't just take it from them, which is what would normally happen. Maybe that would work.

Ultimately it's going to be a solution that is sneakier than force, sneakier than building allianances against them to force them to do whatever, or allow us to do whatever. That's the tricky part these days I think, trying to be sneakier. The problem isn't the problem, it's the source of the problem and probably the source of the source. Water in the basement is an issue, but less so than a leaking hot water heater, which is less of an issue than the broken pipe under the foundation.

I discussed this on the other blog, but I think it's the same solution really. Fuck them in the butt and stab them in the back and do it so they think it was their buddy and so he thinks it was them. Sneaky. The new world of economic warfare.

More of the same

What to write, what to write, what to write? This blog is so small, I send so much around to my peeps in teh emailz, I can't remember what needs talking about and what does not. Only fools and friends read this thing anyhizzle (and some of them might be one and the same!) and the fools are a figment of my fevered...ff..ff.f..some work for thinking involving and f. To be sure.

On another blog there was talk of getting people off of the planet, permanently, in order to reduce environmental impact. It's not my blog (obviously) so I'll stick to questioning it here.

This isn't really what I want to write about.

But let's go with it, a thought experiment as a guy I know likes to say.

Energy costs go up, resources diminish, people pile up, over crowding, not enough of anything for anybody, this is the Malthusian Crisis. Already we consume more energy per person than at any other time in history. Unless my theories about recurrent human civilization transcending the dimensional boundary as nano-tech reduces their ruins to atomic rubble are correct. And they probably are.

Of course we also *generate* a lot more energy now than ever before (as indicated by the fact that we're consuming so much more).

Stress and strain, ecosphere in the balance, what results?

Pessimistic: A lot of people die. I don't think people as a people will die, but lots of us will, this reduces our footprint, causes weird planetary consequences, and life, as life, if not as human civilization, goes on. Woo. But I think we are likely to survive such a scenario as well. Will the post-fuckup be like the pre-fuckup? Unlikely. Of course, obviously. But...you know..so fucking what right? Shit happens. More precisely shit IS FUCKING GOING to happen. To you. To me. To people we love. Etc. Does this mean we should lay down, roll over, and spread our cheeks for the cosmic dildo coming from the sky? Not anymore than it does in MA\SD circles. We should work to prevent it. We should certainly work to prepare for it.

Meh. Lost interest, lost the thread. Posting....

Friday, December 12, 2008

New Materials\Post for a Friday

So I've here's some shit that's been sitting my brain pain fermenting.

Let's suppose a few things:

Everybody and everything in the world that matters has a FaceSpace or YouGoo page.
Everybody and everything in the world that matters it's own personal IP\webspace.

As heavily discussed here and in The Before Time blog, everybody and everything has a computer on itself at all times and that computer is on the 1nt4arw3bz at all times.

Further we might suggest that all such PODs (Personal Omni Devices for those just joining us (my imaginary friend and his buddy)) are wired for sound and video, because....they would be.

Ok. So that's this weeks assumption set.

Now, back to the FaceSpace YouGoo.

A bar is owned by company X and they want to remodel it. Patrons and fans of bar X protest, they do this as they do right now, by creating a FaceSpace YouGoo page\group for it.

As is currently true each POD has it's own unique number (the IP mentioned above, the MAC address, the person\entity with which it's associated, etc, multiple confirmations of unique identity) and thus we can do some interesting maths.

If bar X earns X revenue over X period via X customers then you can determine exactly, or nearly so, certainly to a greater degree than currently possible, how much you bring in, how much the refurb will cost, and how much the protest site traffic will cost you. Thus allowing you to determine if it's worth your time (money) at all to remodel.

Further, as word spreads via the YouGoo FaceSpace your traffic goes up for various reasons, and it becomes detrimental to even really consider it.

This is direct democracy via FaceSpace YouGoo. And it mostly exists now. That Wal-Mart iPhone is going to be a phucking game changer mang. No lie. I dunno why Apple (aka Stevie J) is so smart and everybody else is so dumb, but...he is, and they are, and it's goin' down in your town...tonite!

That App store is exactly the thing. First indicator. Cloud computing suggests the next part (meaning piece) of it.

Here's an app I'd like to see, one that monitors your emails and FaceSpace YouGoo accounts and all the pictures and links and such there-in, and figures out if you've already gotten a link or not, and then tabulates them so you can refresh your memory or pick up where you left off.

This also allows you to track and tabulate various trends. The more your friends send you a link the more you count hits for that link, maybe it becomes worth clicking at some point. You can monitor how fast you hit certain links, or how fast compared to your various networks (the social kind) you are on the edge, track your own viral rating.

With a large enough datapile (oh sweet datapile) you can even begin to engage in your own forms of spam filtering, auto-responding and the like. Tired of "blah blah blah 3 year old blah blah blah daddy in Iraq blah blah blah Amerikkka right or wrong blah blah blah heart warming blah blah blah" mass forwards? Now your filter catches them, kills them, and mass forwards the snopes debunk link back down the chain of link backs.

So. There's a post for a Friday for you. Direct Democracy via FaceSpace YouGoo.

The greater your levels of inter-operation become the more data can be pulled from such a...uh, what would we call it? Inter...net? Maybe that.

How much does protester X actually spend at Amazon? So then how much does their protest really matter? But what about back scatter? What about the friends they influence? Can we use their viral rating to determine presumed\predicted social influence? If so can we further use that free demographic FaceSpace YouGoo data to see how many folks they influence and how much those folks spend on Amazon (or Bar X, or M$, or The Apple App Store, or...) and then actually have some idea of how much "bad press" is actually going to impact your bottom line?

Does this become a viable feedback path for consumers to influence large corporations?

Even for a week or month to demonstrate power. Nike uses Indonesian sweatshops and "everybody" stops buying Nike for a month. That's going to be a bad month...or is it? Maybe those ppl that buy Nike feel the 3rd world, race to the bottom, globalized economy is a good thing and they just spend MORE money to generate MORE work for the poor benighted Indonesians.

Point being this is just another aspect of the datapile model of application. Point being this technology is here, right now, today.

I'd stop there, but this isn't even 1000 words. That's BULLshit. I'm outta blogging shape is all.

What are some other things? Have I done the public transport parts yet?

Equip your buses and taxis with PODs as well (drivers are obsolete, but if we leave them in then...it's their PODs we're using for the public good) and the PODs have GPS (again, this is all real right now) and so now we know where the taxis and buses are all the time (hello App Store money money) and we can ping them with pick up info, times, estimated time of arrival. No more missing the bus by 2 minutes. No more inconvienent stops.

And then we take it a step further. Here's an App Store app for you: Micropayments! I think I did this one already, well, too bad jerks! So now because you can charge shit already with your phone (uh...see the App Store, for instance, ringtones, etc (again, all really real right now)) but between friends. Or between random jack-offs. Like the guy giving you a ride to work. You use your "Thumb App" app and put in your destination (because it's already GOT your location) and somebody close by pings you back with his rates (or maybe that's automated too) and because the odds suggest that if you are going somewhere then somebody else is going there you ride along with them, they get a bit of $$$ from your POD, and buses and taxis die. Or people become buses and taxis as required.

Again, all possible, right now.

How about poetry slams? Street performers?

Same same. Publish your POD data via App Store and play in the street and folx throw you bling via the 1nt4rw3bz as they walk by, as you do open mike poetry, as they read your blog, watch your YouGoo vidz, etc.

Oooh! We're over 1K words now, but I'll keep it goin' 'cause I like you so much.

How about bar-bidding? Bars provide "free" wi-fi, which PODs connect to, you then publish your bar page on 1nt4rw3bz with drink prices (prices you're paying, obviously, from your POD) (goodbye servers and wait staff? maybe....) and then you use App Store app "Bar Hopper" which contains a "hopper" (Oh I lulz myself) of local bars, with locational data. And drink prices\specials, and then the bars monitor their inventory and other bar prices and selectively raise and lower and start and stop specials all night long, to provoke churn\traffic. You can also provide all kinds of other info. Use App Store app "Where all the white women at?" (aka "Where da bitchez at?" aka "You mind if we dance wif yo dates?") to determine where the chicks are, go to that bar, or where people are NOT, so you can leave the loud bar and go to the quiet bar. Or a bar that's too loud raises their drink prices and everybody leaves, and now the quiet bar people come to your newly emptied bar (because really you just wanted to get rid of your stock of house tequila, so you put it on special, ppl showed up, tequila was drank, and they left).

So there's another mass app.

Mass Transit. Bars. What else?

What's missing?

Currently you can use PODs to connect to the 1nt4rw3bz and you can use that to find all standard internet data, but that data is largely non-local, even when App Store does stuff to localize it to you (that lunch app, directions, etc) it's a one-way thing. You know your location, and it knows theirs, but they don't know yours.

So PODs need to act as local area servers, which should be a pretty trivial programming task in fact. Particularly since you're going to be using local wi-fi hotspots for net access anyway. It already HAS a client list from it's DHCP table. Just reverse publish that down the pipe and go for P2P connects and publishing.

Finally a word about the ON (again Omni Net for those who are new here (all 0 of you)) it's here now. I thought it would take time, but it's actually already ready already. Cell nets ARE the ON. That white-space deal Google fucked out of the FCC? Same\same. Wi-Max? Same\same.

And what does Intel (and Marvell (and others)) have in it's labs? Software radios. The only thing you need for serious ON action.

So, the POD is here now, the ON is here now. Thus my future vision comes to fruition.

The datapile is already pre-extant. It's here it's just not connected to itself yet. Matter of time. All that data is money (interesting posit btw for those who like business\money) so ppl guard it jealously, but of course if you don't share money you can't make money and so the data will merge, the datapile will E-merge (little putar joke there) and there it is.

Final bits missing:

FN (fun? phone? I'd probably go with phone for retro-throwback potential)
high-density WORMS (the S is for Storage (or maybe Solid State (WORMSSS?)))
transparent data access\data access tracking&logging

I read something recently about the P2P networks being retuned to search local nodes preferentially for data, so that's real now too.

Cars that drive themselves

and of course the SHEL.

And the Integrated Reality devices.

One final word since I ain't think I gotz it here yet.

Intel said recently they've got their 32nm process scaling up for production. Atom SOC at 32nm should be out next year therefore. This is the (I think, for now) ultimate POD chip, combined with software radio for ON, and (ideally, fuck Apple) Android v2 phones for the POD platform and there we go.

Software changes the world instantly. That's the secret of software.

I'm almost at 2K for today. So I'm going to keep going.

But what?

Implications about truth via datapile? That's been done (by me) already. But for instance, using the above, The Seattle Mariners are trying to oppose a strip club being built near their stadium. Theory I heard was season ticket holders (richies!) would be up-nosed about this, and never ever come to their local ball clubs games again if they had something as evil as a strip bar next door (nevermind that this is stupid, just roll with it) so...how to test it? Datapile.

How to test anything?

One of the assumptions of economics I have trouble with is the idea of homo economus, the rational actor. Often this takes the form of various theories from behavioral econ to account for non-rational "rational" behaviors. But also we have situations of information dis-parity. If you don't know what's on sale how can you but it preferentially? So using localized ON data now you can know. And those in charge of price fixing, uh, setting, can know also. A "flat" marketplace.

Point here is that you can then use the datapile to test for rationality, to test for vendor trust, and so on and so forth.

Suppose you go see a movie opening weekend. You leave the movie, your POD says, "Hey jerk, wanna fill out a quick survey on this biatch for a 1$ refund on your ticket price?". Here are some interesting ideas for that:

The production company gets this data OR the theatre gets this data and sells it to the production company OR a internet site comps you more on your ticket price than either and you give them your info first, and they scoop the bigger sites OR you are walking by the theatre and your POD tells you movie times AND what the last audience thought of it AND if there is enough info in the d-pile you can even get demo-data right out of that stream (all folx within 2 deltas of your demo-data enjoyed it, oldies didn't, kids didn't (so you don't take your kids)).

On-demand similar vendor instant coupons. "I notice you got Sugar Frosted Choco-bombs...would you like to save .50$ on them and on Item X (organic DHA supplemented milk)?"

The ability to directly drive consumer culture like this is then contrasted against the ability of the consumer to use the "flat" market to extract market intel against you (the companies).

How about App Store app "deal breaker" that scans for sweet deals against your wish list at all times? "There's a sale at Penny's!!!!" /airplane

and on and on like this. Because of the App Store SpaceFace YouGoo Marketplace you get on-demand software, software provides your instant social change methodology\"upgrade path", and the world is never the same again. Wal-mart gives you cheap PODs (if you've got streaming media what do you need 100GB of storage local to your POD for? You can only listen to one song at a time) and it's fucking ON!

Software provides "reverse" localized data. Software provides public transport. Micropayments from phone to phone (Android v2 should feature on-board biometrics to go with your PIN unlock and software provides "pass code" vocal recognition (this is all so your POD is *yours* and less susceptible to theft (of course if all PODs are on the ON all the time...how can anybody really steal them very effectively?)) provide all kinds of crazy shit. Internet agents (software) provide constant scanning (again, this is really real right now, RSS feeds, push-data, etc).

Direct democracy via iPhone (POD is so much better). Movie reviews. "Flat" markets.

And so forth.